Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 43.0 and 45.9 in July? Odds jumped to 9% on Jul 31, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: NoMove

Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 43.0 and 45.9 in July? On , the market’s odds jumped from 0.1¢ to 8.6¢ (+8.5 pts) within an hour of a news signal, one of a 3-source news cluster, from Reuters. The market has since resolved No.

How did the odds move?

At match0.1¢
+5m9¢
+30m12.7¢
+1h8.6¢
1h move+8.5 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

Part of a 3-source news cluster, first seen . The triggering signal is listed first.

NoReuters97%match
University of Michigan Surveys of Consumers Sentiment Final July 55.2 (Consensus 54.0) vs Preliminary July 54.4 and Final June 49.5

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .

YES0¢
NO100¢

Vol$8K

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Will UMich Consumer Sentiment be between 43.0 and 45.9 in July? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment - July 2026 — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.