Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.8% and 0.9%? Odds jumped to 50% on Aug 13, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: NoMove

Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.8% and 0.9%? On , the market’s odds jumped from 0.5¢ to 50¢ (+49.5 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from ft.com. The market has since resolved No.

How did the odds move?

At match0.5¢
+5m0.5¢
+30m50¢
+1h50¢
+24h50¢
1h move+49.5 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

Noft.com94%match
[UPDATE] UK economy grows 0.4% in second quarter (first reported at 2026-08-13T06:02:03Z)

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .

YES0¢
NO100¢

Vol$4K

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Will UK GDP growth in Q2 2026 be between 0.8% and 0.9%? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

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