Will Trump say "Trump" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? Odds fell to 11% on Sep 24, 2026

OpenMove

Will Trump say "Trump" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? On , the market’s odds fell from 20.5¢ to 10.5¢ (-10 pts) within an hour of a news signal, one of a 2-source news cluster, from TheHill Reporter.

How did the odds move?

At match20.5¢
+5m19.5¢
+30m10.5¢
+1h10.5¢
1h move-10 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

Later moves the same day

This is the market’s single brief for Sep 24, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.

  • 19.5¢ → 10.5¢-9 ptsafter a signal from Walter Bloomberg
  • 17.5¢ → 0.5¢-17 ptsafter a signal from zerohedge

What moved the odds?

Part of a 2-source news cluster, first seen . The triggering signal is listed first.

NeutralTheHill Reporter94%match
President Trump hosts Chinese President Xi Jinping at the White House today---> • 8am: Executive Time • 10am: POTUS & FLOTUS greet Xi & Madame Peng • 10:10am: Arrival Ceremony • 10:15am: POTUs & Xi deliver remarks • 10:30am: Gift Exchange • 10:40am: Silent Drill Platoon Review • 11am: Military Review • 11:30am: Bilateral meeting • 12pm: Expanded bilateral meeting • 2pm: POTUS receives intelligence briefing • 3:30pm: Policy meeting • 6:45pm: POTUS & FLOTUS greet Xi and Madame Peng • 7:55pm: POTUS delivers remarks • 8:10pm: State Dinner
NeutralWalter Bloomberg95%match
TRUMP-XI WHITE HOUSE SCHEDULE — THURSDAY • • 8:00 AM — Executive Time • 9:00 AM — In-Town Pool Call • 10:00 AM — Trump & First Lady greet Xi Jinping & Peng Liyuan • 10:10 AM — Arrival Ceremony • 10:15 AM — Trump & Xi deliver remarks • 10:30 AM — Gift Exchange • 10:40 AM — Silent Drill Platoon Review • 11:00 AM — Military Review

Where does this market stand now?

The market prices a 11% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES11¢
NO89¢

Vol$4K

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Will Trump say "Trump" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for What will Trump say during his remarks at Xi Jinping’s state arrival? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.