Will Trump say "Iran" or "Iranian" 20+ times during Speech to the Nation? Odds fell to 20% on Jul 14, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: NoMove

Will Trump say "Iran" or "Iranian" 20+ times during Speech to the Nation? On , the market’s odds fell from 30¢ to 20¢ (-10 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from content-static.cctvnews.cctv.com. The market has since resolved No.

How did the odds move?

At match30¢
+5m25¢
+30m25.5¢
+1h20¢
+24h16.5¢
1h move-10 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

Yescontent-static.cctvnews.cctv.com99%match
Trump threatens to strike Iranian bridges and power plants, pressuring Iran to restart negotiations.

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .

YES0¢
NO100¢

Vol$14K

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Will Trump say "Iran" or "Iranian" 20+ times during Speech to the Nation? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for What will Trump say during the Speech to the Nation? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.