What will Trump say during the Speech to the Nation?Iran / Iranian 20+ times
ResolvedOutcome: No$14Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .
YES0¢
NO100¢
as of
What moved the odds?
21 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Trump barely mentioned the Iran conflict in wartime, primetime address
Live: Trump barely mentioned the Iran conflict in wartime, primetime address
"We are likewise winning big in Iran, and you will see the fruits of that labor very very shortly," was the only mention of the war in Iran, Trump made during his address to the nation tonight.
Trump: We will achieve a clear victory over Iran
Live: Trump to speak as war on Iran ramps up
U.S. hits dozens of Iranian targets as Trump demands renewed negotiations
"We will strike tonight and tomorrow": Trump threatens Iran with targeting bridges and power stations, and calls on them to reach a quick agreement.
US attack kills more than 30 Iranian civilians; President Trump discusses further large-scale attacks with officials.
To discuss a wider attack on Iran, Trump holds a meeting in the Situation Room.
Live: Trump warns Iran won't "have anybody left" if no deal is made
Axios, citing informed sources: Trump held a meeting in the Situation Room on Tuesday to discuss a broader attack on #Iran than the current strikes.
Trump: We will target Iranian energy facilities and bridges if negotiations with Iran do not resume.
Trump threatens to strike Iranian bridges and power plants, pressuring Iran to restart negotiations.
Live: Trump said on Fox News that Iran would be “hit very hard” tonight and this week. “Next week, it gets really bad for them, because next week comes the power plants, next week comes the bridges,” he said, saying that the strikes would not end until Iranian officials came back to negotiations.
Trump: "Spoke with Iran... If no agreement is reached by next week, attack power plant"
Trump threatens to strike Iranian power plants if no agreement is reached.
Trump: We will launch very powerful strikes against Iran tonight and tomorrow night.
Trump The US military will bomb Iranian power plants and bridges next week if Iran does not come to the negotiating table.
YESNews99%match30¢-100%
*TRUMP: WILL HIT IRAN AGAIN TOMORROW NIGHT
Trump to Fox News: Strikes on Iran will continue until I say enough is enough
U.S. striking Iran again today. Trump warned he would do this.
Where does the news lean?
46YES3NO3neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 97%.
Past moves on this market
Material odds moves (≥8 points within an hour of a matched news signal), newest first — each links to a dated brief on what moved the price.
How did this market resolve?
Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in a Speech to the Nation on July 16, 2026 at 9 PM ET (https://truthsocial.com/@realDonaldTrump/posts/116914147668764804).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his Speech to the Nation on July 16, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market is explicitly about the "Speech to the Nation" scheduled for 9 PM ET. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution.
If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by July 17, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other markets will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video of the events.
For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf
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