Will Trump say "Hell" 10+ times during RNC Convention? Odds jumped to 11% on Sep 11, 2026
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Will Trump say "Hell" 10+ times during RNC Convention? On , the market’s odds jumped from 1.6¢ to 11¢ (+9.4 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from LCI Reporter.
How did the odds move?
Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.
Later moves the same day
This is the market’s single brief for Sep 11, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.
- 1.6¢ → 10.5¢+8.9 ptsafter a signal from President Trump closed out the Republican midterm convention in Dallas on Thursday by urging attendees to pledge to go out and vote in November’s midterm elections. “Please raise your right hand,” Trump told a stadium packed with his supporters as he was met with some laughter. “I pledge to the greatest president in the history…
What moved the odds?
Where does this market stand now?
The market prices a 2% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
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Will Trump say "Hell" 10+ times during RNC Convention? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.
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