What will Trump say during RNC Convention?

OpenOutcomes26as of

Market pricing makes Radical Left the favorite at 91% across 26 tracked outcomes, as of .

What are the odds right now?

Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

Radical Left91%
No Tax on Tips90%
MAGA / Make America Great Again90%
Endorse / Endorsed / Endorsement87%
Save America Act85%
Afford / Affordable / Affordability82%
Charlie / Kirk77%
America First74%
Supreme Court73%
AI / Artificial Intelligence62%
Golf / Golfer49%
Transgender 3+ times48%
My Father45%
Secret Service45%
Joe / Biden 12+ times39%
Gay36%
Laken Riley35%
Kamala / Obama / Biden 12+ times34%
Hell 10+ times34%
Rigged Election34%
Ass31%
Autism31%
Democrat / Dumocrat / Dumbocrat 25+ times28%
Vegan14%
Crypto / Cryptocurrency / Bitcoin7%
-No Qualifying Event-3%

What moved the odds?

No directional matched news signals are available across this event yet.

What is this event about?

Donald Trump is scheduled to give remarks at the RNC Convention on September 10, 2026 at 10AM ET. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during the specified appearance. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No". This market is explicitly about Trump's remarks at the RNC Convention scheduled for September 10, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution. If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not available by September 11, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other brackets will resolve to "No". The resolution source will be audio/video of the event. For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Mentions/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf

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