Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during White House Correspondents Dinner? Odds jumped to 84% on Jul 25, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: YesMove

Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during White House Correspondents Dinner? On , the market’s odds jumped from 32¢ to 83.5¢ (+51.5 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from Asharq. The market has since resolved Yes.

How did the odds move?

At match32¢
+5m17.5¢
+30m19.5¢
+1h83.5¢
1h move+51.5 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

NeutralAsharq97%match
Trump's remarks at the White House Correspondents' Association dinner

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .

YES100¢
NO0¢

Vol$8K

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Will Trump say "Biden" 5+ times during White House Correspondents Dinner? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for What will Trump say during WHCA Dinner? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.