What will Trump say during WHCA Dinner?
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This hub tracks 19 outcomes of this event, with the news signals that move them.
What are the odds right now?
Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.
Biden 5+ times100%
Hell 5+ times100%
Iran 3+ times100%
Drone100%
Fake News100%
Nasty100%
Melania100%
Sleepy0%
Butler0%
What moved the odds?
17 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s final price as of .
Trump spars with ‘fake news media’ at reorganised correspondents’ dinner
Second White House Correspondents' Dinner: Trump attacks the "fake news" media and hints at a third term.
Second White House Correspondents' Dinner: Trump attacks the "fake news" media and hints at a third term.
Trump Delivers Strict Criticism of "Fake News" in Front of White House Correspondents at Dinner (Roundup)
Trump: "We will not succumb to political violence" - Speech at US journalists' dinner postponed due to assassination attempt
Live: Trump says Iran cannot have a nuclear weapon at White House press dinner
Trump delivers scathing rebuke of "fake news" in front of White House Correspondents' Dinner
BREAKING: President Trump delivers concluding remarks at the WHCA addressing the press corps about his relationship with the media and thanking attendees. • • "I have tremendous respect for the people in this room. Sometimes I don't feel you treat me fair. Or maybe you do. I don't know, I don't feel that. But sometimes you treat me very fairly and I have a lot of respect for your profession. Your profession is amazing. And I just want to thank you for having me." • • "I did this for one reason to make America great again. And that's what's happening right before your very eyes. We have made America great again. It's going to get a lot greater."
Speaking at the White House Correspondents' Association dinner, Trump said the Islamic Republic wanted a deal with the United States, but questioned whether Tehran was ready for such a deal. He added that he would listen to any proposal, but stressed that the Islamic Republic could not have a nuclear weapons program.
Live: Trump's speech turns into a nasty roast of political rivals and media figures
“If you get really really nasty, maybe not.. but we’ll be back next year.” Trump says during his speech tonight.
Live: Trump takes dig at incoming WHCA president: 'She can be nasty'
NOW: President Trump kicks off the WHCA Dinner with jokes about the event's awards before boasting about constructing a venue for far less than the Federal Reserve building. • • "Wow, that was very beautiful. But this has not been an easy evening. All these awards. Do I have a say to those awards?" • • "But it's great to be back at a place that I know very well because I built it." • • "And I'm very proud of it, because I built it for $2.9 billion less than the Federal Reserve building, which is a lot smaller, by the way."
Trump to deliver ‘unifying yet vicious’ remarks at press dinner months after shooting incident, White House says
Trump returns to White House press dinner after shooting chaos
Trump heads back to correspondents’ dinner months after gunfire forced evacuation
What is this event about?
Donald Trump is scheduled to participate in a White House Correspondents Dinner on July 24, 2026 (https://whca.press/news/annual-dinner/).
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump says the listed term during his White House Correspondents Dinner on July 24, 2026. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No".
This market is explicitly about the "White House Correspondents Dinner" scheduled for July 24, 2026. Speeches, events, or comments that occur outside of the named, scheduled event will not qualify toward this market's resolution.
If this event is definitively cancelled, or otherwise is not aired by July 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, "-No Qualifying Event-" will resolve to "Yes" and all other markets will resolve to "No".
The resolution source will be video of the events.
For full rules, see: https://polymarket-upload.s3.us-east-2.amazonaws.com/market_products/Event+Mentions+Contract+DeFi.pdf