Will Treg Taylor advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? Odds fell to 12% on Aug 19, 2026

OpenMove

Will Treg Taylor advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? On , the market’s odds fell from 21¢ to 11.5¢ (-9.5 pts) within an hour of a news signal, one of a 2-source news cluster, from Decision Desk (DDHQ).

How did the odds move?

At match21¢
+5m21¢
+30m21¢
+1h11.5¢
+24h4.1¢
1h move-9.5 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

Part of a 2-source news cluster, first seen . The triggering signal is listed first.

NoDecision Desk (DDHQ)97%match
DDHQ Race Update (est. 33% in): Alaska Governor Primary • • Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins (D): 9,936 (21.7%) • Tom Begich (D): 9,117 (19.9%) • Bernadette Wilson (R): 4,790 (10.5%) • Dave Bronson (R): 4,007 (8.8%) • Treg Taylor (R): 3,493 (7.6%) • • Follow more results here: •

Where does this market stand now?

The market prices a 50% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES50¢
NO50¢

Vol$84K

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Will Treg Taylor advance from the 2026 Alaska Governor primary election? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for Who will advance from the Alaska Governor primary? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.