Will Tram Nguyen be the Democratic nominee for MA-06? Odds fell to 1% on Sep 2, 2026

OpenMove

Will Tram Nguyen be the Democratic nominee for MA-06? On , the market’s odds fell from 11¢ to 0.5¢ (-10.4 pts) within an hour of a news signal, one of a 2-source news cluster, from Decision Desk (DDHQ).

How did the odds move?

At match11¢
+5m7.8¢
+30m1.6¢
+1h0.5¢
1h move-10.4 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

Part of a 2-source news cluster, first seen . The triggering signal is listed first.

NeutralDecision Desk (DDHQ)98%match
DDHQ Race Update (est. 6% in): Massachusetts US House 6 Democratic Primary • • Dan Koh (D): 2,785 (39.7%) • Tram Nguyen (D): 2,535 (36.2%) • John Beccia (D): 593 (8.5%) • Jamie Belsito (D): 584 (8.3%) • • Follow more results here: •
NoDecision Desk (DDHQ)98%match
DDHQ Race Update (est. 7% in): Massachusetts US House 6 Democratic Primary • • Dan Koh (D): 3,584 (41.0%) • Tram Nguyen (D): 2,940 (33.7%) • John Beccia (D): 865 (9.9%) • Jamie Belsito (D): 714 (8.2%) • • Follow more results here: •

Where does this market stand now?

The market prices a 1% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES1¢
NO100¢

Vol$52K

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Will Tram Nguyen be the Democratic nominee for MA-06? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for MA-06 Democratic Primary Winner — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.