Will three people dissent the July Fed decision? Odds jumped to 100% on Jul 29, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: YesMove

Will three people dissent the July Fed decision? On , the market’s odds jumped from 79.5¢ to 100¢ (+20.5 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from News. The market has since resolved Yes.

How did the odds move?

At match79.5¢
+5m99.5¢
+30m100¢
+1h100¢
1h move+20.5 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

Later moves the same day

This is the market’s single brief for Jul 29, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.

  • 84¢ → 100¢+16 ptsafter a signal from faststocknewss

What moved the odds?

YesNews94%match
FOMC statement: 9 members voted in favor of the decision, 3 against.

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .

YES100¢
NO0¢

Vol$8K

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Will three people dissent the July Fed decision? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for How many dissent at the July Fed meeting? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.