Quebec General Election: PQ Wins a Majority? Odds fell to 1% on Oct 6, 2026

OpenMove

Quebec General Election: PQ Wins a Majority? On , the market’s odds fell from 40.5¢ to 1.1¢ (-39.4 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from theglobeandmail.com.

How did the odds move?

At match40.5¢
+5m33¢
+30m7¢
+1h1.1¢
1h move-39.4 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

Later moves the same day

This is the market’s single brief for Oct 6, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.

  • 12¢ → 0.1¢-11.9 ptsafter a signal from nationalpost.com

What moved the odds?

Yestheglobeandmail.com95%match
Parti Québécois projected to form government in Quebec

Where does this market stand now?

The market prices a 0% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES0¢
NO100¢

Vol$41K

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Quebec General Election: PQ Wins a Majority? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.