Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Fay? Odds jumped to 59% on Sep 20, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: NoMove

Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Fay? On , the market’s odds jumped from 50¢ to 59¢ (+9 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from apnews.com. The market has since resolved No.

How did the odds move?

At match50¢
+5m51¢
+30m54¢
+1h59¢
+24h2.9¢
1h move+9 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

Yesapnews.com94%match
[UPDATE] Tropical Storm Fay forms far out in the Atlantic as Odalys strengthens in the Pacific (first reported at 2026-09-20T11:30:20Z)

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .

YES0¢
NO100¢

Vol$18K

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Will the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season be Fay? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.