What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season?

OpenOutcomes20as of

Market pricing makes Edouard the favorite at 35% across 20 tracked outcomes, as of .

What are the odds right now?

Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

Fay21%

What moved the odds?

9 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .

Dollytheguardian.com92%match8¢-12%
Tropical Storm Dolly speeding across Atlantic toward the Caribbean
Dollywashingtonpost.com94%match92¢+1%
Dolly could be a rare beneficial tropical storm
Dollywashingtonpost.com98%match53¢-87%
The next tropical storm name on the list? Dolly.
The next tropical storm in the Atlantic will be named "Dolly"
Dollynews.sky.com93%match47¢-85%
Live: Next Atlantic storm to be named Dolly - but unrelated to death of singer
Dollynypost.com93%match47¢-85%
Next Atlantic storm will be named Dolly — but it’s not connected to Parton’s death
Dollydpa.com97%match47¢-85%
The next Atlantic tropical storm is called "Dolly".
Dollyukrpravda_news94%match47¢-85%
The next storm in the Atlantic may be named Dolly, but the famous singer has nothing to do with it
Dollyapnews.com92%match47¢-85%
The next Atlantic storm will be named Dolly, but it's not connected to Parton's death

What is this event about?

This market will resolve according to the name of the first named storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic from the creation of this market through November 30, 2026 11:59:59 PM ET. If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between market creation through November 30, 2026 11:59:59 PM ET, then this market resolves to "Other". A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php. A tropical storm will not qualify as a hurricane even if it is named. All names are from the NHC list of 2026 Atlantic Names (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutnames.shtml). This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward.

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