What will be the name of the first hurricane in the Atlantic for the 2026 Hurricane Season?

ResolvedOutcomes20as of

This hub tracks 20 outcomes of this event, with the news signals that move them.

What are the odds right now?

Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

Isaias100%
Fay0%

What moved the odds?

27 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s final price as of .

Isaiasapnews.com92%match100¢
[UPDATE] Hurricane Isaias is expected to strengthen as it barrels toward the US Gulf Coast (first reported at 2026-10-08T05:37:27Z)
Isaiasapnews.com92%match100¢
[UPDATE] Hurricane Isaias is expected to strengthen as it heads toward the northern Gulf coast (first reported at 2026-10-08T05:37:27Z)
Isaiasnypost.com93%match100¢
Live: What to expect from Hurricane Isaias
Isaiaswashingtonpost.com93%match98¢+2%
[UPDATE] Hurricane Isaias tracker: Map and projected storm path (first reported at 2026-10-07T18:36:46.033104900Z)
Isaiasnbcnews.com93%match98¢+2%
Live: What to expect from Hurricane Isaias
Isaiasouest-france.fr94%match98¢+2%
Isaias, the first hurricane of the year in the Atlantic, threatens the American coasts
Isaiasnpr.org95%match98¢+2%
Isaias strengthens into the first hurricane of the Atlantic season
IsaiasFrench Media93%match98¢+2%
Hurricane Isaias, the first of the season, is intensifying and heading towards the Gulf of Mexico.
Isaiasbfmtv.com92%match98¢+2%
Hurricane Isaias, the first of the season, is intensifying and heading towards the Gulf of Mexico
Isaiaswashingtonpost.com95%match98¢+2%
Isaias becomes first Atlantic hurricane of the season. These areas are most at risk.
Isaiasnytimes.com92%match98¢+2%
6 Ways Isaias Is Remaking the Story of This Year’s Hurricane Season
Fayapnews.com94%match50¢-100%
[UPDATE] Tropical Storm Fay forms far out in the Atlantic as Odalys strengthens in the Pacific (first reported at 2026-09-20T11:30:20Z)
Fayapnews.com93%match90¢+11%
[UPDATE] Far from shore, Tropical Storm Fay forms as Odalys eyes hurricane strength (first reported at 2026-09-20T11:30:20Z)
Fayapnews.com92%match10¢-100%
National Hurricane Center: Tropical Storm Fay forms in the northern Atlantic
Edouardapnews.com92%match87¢+15%
[UPDATE] Tropical Storm Edouard unleashes heavy rain, strong winds in Texas, knocking out power to thousands (first reported at 2026-09-01T09:21:17Z)
Edouardapnews.com92%match86¢+16%
[UPDATE] Tropical Storm Edouard arrives on the Texas and Louisiana coasts after gaining strength in the Gulf (first reported at 2026-09-01T09:21:17Z)
Edouardapnews.com93%match86¢+16%
[UPDATE] Tropical Storm Edouard makes land fall on the Gulf Coast, bringing the possibility of flooding (first reported at 2026-09-01T09:21:17Z)
Edouardcbseveningnews96%match26¢-100%
A tropical storm warning was issued Monday for coastal stretches of Louisiana and Texas as a tropical depression formed in the Gulf. If it continues to develop, the system will become Tropical Storm Edouard, the fifth tropical storm so far during the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season.
Dollytheguardian.com92%match8¢-100%
Tropical Storm Dolly speeding across Atlantic toward the Caribbean
Dollywashingtonpost.com94%match92¢+9%
Dolly could be a rare beneficial tropical storm
Dollywashingtonpost.com98%match53¢-100%
The next tropical storm name on the list? Dolly.
DollyBelarus State News Agency97%match48¢-100%
The next tropical storm in the Atlantic will be named "Dolly"
Dollynews.sky.com93%match47¢-100%
Live: Next Atlantic storm to be named Dolly - but unrelated to death of singer
Dollynypost.com93%match47¢-100%
Next Atlantic storm will be named Dolly — but it’s not connected to Parton’s death
Dollydpa.com97%match47¢-100%
The next Atlantic tropical storm is called "Dolly".
Dollyukrpravda_news94%match47¢-100%
The next storm in the Atlantic may be named Dolly, but the famous singer has nothing to do with it
Dollyapnews.com92%match47¢-100%
The next Atlantic storm will be named Dolly, but it's not connected to Parton's death

What is this event about?

This market will resolve according to the name of the first named storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic from the creation of this market through November 30, 2026 11:59:59 PM ET. If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between market creation through November 30, 2026 11:59:59 PM ET, then this market resolves to "Other". A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php. A tropical storm will not qualify as a hurricane even if it is named. All names are from the NHC list of 2026 Atlantic Names (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutnames.shtml). This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward.