Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 6.00% before 2027? Odds jumped to 29% on Sep 29, 2026
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Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 6.00% before 2027? On , the market’s odds jumped from 13.4¢ to 28.8¢ (+15.5 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from ft.com.
How did the odds move?
Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.
Later moves the same day
This is the market’s single brief for Sep 29, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.
- 13.4¢ → 28.8¢+15.5 ptsafter a signal from cnbc
- 13.4¢ → 30¢+16.7 ptsafter a signal from alarabiya_bn
- 13.4¢ → 26¢+12.6 ptsafter a signal from Walter Bloomberg
What moved the odds?
Where does this market stand now?
The market prices a 24% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
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Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 6.00% before 2027? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.
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