Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.65% before 2027? Odds jumped to 93% on Sep 29, 2026

OpenMove

Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.65% before 2027? On , the market’s odds jumped from 80.5¢ to 93¢ (+12.5 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from cls.cn.

How did the odds move?

At match80.5¢
+5m80.5¢
+30m88¢
+1h93¢
1h move+12.5 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

Later moves the same day

This is the market’s single brief for Sep 29, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.

  • 80.5¢ → 93¢+12.5 ptsafter a signal from Reuters
  • 80.5¢ → 93.5¢+13 ptsafter a signal from cls.cn

What moved the odds?

Neutralcls.cn97%match
September 29 (Cailian Press) -- The yield on the 30-year U.S. Treasury note rose to 5.597%, the highest level since 2002.

Where does this market stand now?

The market prices a 89% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES89¢
NO11¢

Vol$15K

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Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.65% before 2027? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

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