Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.50% before 2027? Odds jumped to 89% on Sep 24, 2026

OpenMove

Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.50% before 2027? On , the market’s odds jumped from 78.5¢ to 88.5¢ (+10 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from News.

How did the odds move?

At match78.5¢
+5m78.5¢
+30m86¢
+1h88.5¢
1h move+10 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

NeutralNews97%match
The yield on 30-year US Treasury bonds briefly rose to over 5.44%, the highest level since 2004, according to reports.

Where does this market stand now?

The market prices a 79% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES79¢
NO22¢

Vol$4K

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Will the 30-year Treasury yield hit 5.50% before 2027? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

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