Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit Japan? Odds fell to 76% on Aug 7, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: YesMove

Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit Japan? On , the market’s odds fell from 87.9¢ to 76.2¢ (-11.7 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from alarabytv. The market has since resolved Yes.

How did the odds move?

At match87.9¢
+5m86.5¢
+30m79.8¢
+1h76.2¢
1h move-11.7 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

Yesalarabytv94%match
Japan's Okinawa island is bracing for Typhoon Dolphin, and authorities are warning against unnecessary outings.

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .

YES100¢
NO0¢

Vol$132K

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Will Super Typhoon Dolphin hit Japan? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.