Will Stephen Lynch be the Democratic nominee for MA-08? Odds jumped to 97% on Sep 2, 2026
ResolvedOutcome: YesMove
Will Stephen Lynch be the Democratic nominee for MA-08? On , the market’s odds jumped from 84.5¢ to 97.1¢ (+12.6 pts) within an hour of a news signal, one of a 5-source news cluster, from Decision Desk (DDHQ). The market has since resolved Yes.
How did the odds move?
At match84.5¢
+5m90¢
+30m95¢
+1h97.1¢
1h move+12.6 pts
Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.
What moved the odds?
Part of a 5-source news cluster, first seen . The triggering signal is listed first.
▲YesDecision Desk (DDHQ)98%match
DDHQ Race Update (est. 0% in): Massachusetts US House 8 Democratic Primary • • Stephen Lynch (D): 142 (75.1%) • Patrick Roath (D): 47 (24.9%) • • Follow more results here: •
▼NoDecision Desk (DDHQ)98%match
DDHQ Race Update (est. 8% in): Massachusetts US House 8 Democratic Primary • • Patrick Roath (D): 4,400 (53.0%) • Stephen Lynch (D): 3,901 (47.0%) • • Follow more results here: •
NeutralDecision Desk (DDHQ)98%match
DDHQ Race Update (est. 11% in): Massachusetts US House 8 Democratic Primary • • Stephen Lynch (D): 5,700 (50.4%) • Patrick Roath (D): 5,605 (49.6%) • • Follow more results here: •
▲YesDecision Desk (DDHQ)98%match
DDHQ Race Update (est. 17% in): Massachusetts US House 8 Democratic Primary • • Stephen Lynch (D): 8,750 (52.4%) • Patrick Roath (D): 7,956 (47.6%) • • Follow more results here: •
▲YesDecision Desk (DDHQ)98%match
DDHQ Race Update (est. 21% in): Massachusetts US House 8 Democratic Primary • • Stephen Lynch (D): 11,242 (53.5%) • Patrick Roath (D): 9,762 (46.5%) • • Follow more results here: •
Where does this market stand now?
This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .