MA-08 Democratic Primary Winner

OpenOutcomes15as of

Market pricing makes Stephen Lynch the favorite at 83% across 15 tracked outcomes, as of .

What are the odds right now?

Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

What moved the odds?

3 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .

Stephen LynchAxios Reporter97%match48¢-65%
Boston Globe endorses Patrick Roath, progressive primary challenger to Rep. Stephen Lynch:
Patrick RoathAxios Reporter98%match50¢-62%
Boston Globe endorses Patrick Roath, progressive primary challenger to Rep. Stephen Lynch:
PAC helping Stephen Lynch (facing a younger progressive opponent) working with Shawmut Strategies Group, whose clients include Flock. (Lynch was part of House AI working group.) •

What is this event about?

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 1, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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