Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? Odds jumped to 85% on Aug 2, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: YesMove

Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? On , the market’s odds jumped from 71¢ to 85¢ (+14 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from APws. The market has since resolved Yes.

How did the odds move?

At match71¢
+5m72¢
+30m82.5¢
+1h85¢
+24h99.9¢
1h move+14 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

NoAPws97%match
LOS ANGELES (AP) — ‘Spider-Man: Brand New Day’ nets biggest North American opening weekend since 'Avengers: Endgame' in 2019

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .

YES100¢
NO0¢

Vol$437K

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Will Spider-Man: Brand New Day beat Avengers: Endgame's opening weekend record? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.