Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (LOW) $90 in August? Odds jumped to 45% on Aug 5, 2026

OpenMove

Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (LOW) $90 in August? On , the market’s odds jumped from 33.5¢ to 44.5¢ (+11 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from Walter Bloomberg.

How did the odds move?

At match33.5¢
+5m33¢
+30m33¢
+1h44.5¢
+24h35¢
1h move+11 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

NoWalter Bloomberg95%match
$SPCX - MIZUHO REAFFIRMS OUTPERFORM ON SPACEX • • Mizuho reiterated its Outperform rating and $200 price target on SpaceX. • • The company posted strong first public results, with $7.8B revenue (+92% YoY) and $3.5B adjusted EBITDA (+191% YoY). AI led growth, generating $2.6B revenue and turning profitable. • • Management highlighted ambitious targets, including $100B ARR by December, a $1T revenue goal by 2030, faster compute expansion, and a potential Starship tower catch this month. Mizuho says the outlook remains compelling.

Where does this market stand now?

The market prices a 1% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES1¢
NO99¢

Vol$5K

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Will SpaceX (SPCX) hit (LOW) $90 in August? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

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