Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30? Odds fell to 71% on Sep 17, 2026

OpenMove

Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30? On , the market’s odds fell from 82.7¢ to 70.9¢ (-11.8 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from elonmusk.

How did the odds move?

At match82.7¢
+5m82.8¢
+1h70.9¢
1h move-11.8 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

Yeselonmusk98%match
Now targeting to launch Starship Flight 14 as early as Monday, September 28, pending regulatory approval

Where does this market stand now?

The market prices a 83% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES83¢
NO17¢

Vol$31K

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Will SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 launch by September 30? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for SpaceX Starship Flight Test 14 — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.