Will Peggy Flanagan win the Minnesota Senate Democratic primary by 15–20%? Odds jumped to 29% on Aug 12, 2026
ResolvedOutcome: Yes
Will Peggy Flanagan win the Minnesota Senate Democratic primary by 15–20%? On , the market’s odds jumped from 14¢ to 29¢ (+15 pts) within an hour of a news signal, one of a 2-source news cluster, from Decision Desk (DDHQ). The market has since resolved Yes.
How did the odds move?
Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.
Later moves the same day
This is the market’s single brief for Aug 12, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.
- 14¢ → 28.5¢+14.5 ptsafter a signal from Decision Desk (DDHQ)
- 14¢ → 28.5¢+14.5 ptsafter a signal from Decision Desk (DDHQ)
- 15.5¢ → 28.5¢+13 ptsafter a signal from Decision Desk (DDHQ)
- 16¢ → 27¢+11 ptsafter a signal from Decision Desk (DDHQ)
- 28.5¢ → 20.5¢-8 ptsafter a signal from notus.org
- 28.5¢ → 19.5¢-9 ptsafter a signal from CBS Reporter
- 28.5¢ → 18.5¢-10 ptsafter a signal from nypost.com
- 28.5¢ → 18.5¢-10 ptsafter a signal from theguardian.com
- 28.5¢ → 15.5¢-13 ptsafter a signal from nypost.com
- 28.5¢ → 15.5¢-13 ptsafter a signal from Fox Reporter
- 28.5¢ → 14.5¢-14 ptsafter a signal from cbsnews.com
- 28.5¢ → 14.5¢-14 ptsafter a signal from nytimes.com
What moved the odds?
Part of a 2-source news cluster, first seen . The triggering signal is listed first.
Where does this market stand now?
This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .
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Will Peggy Flanagan win the Minnesota Senate Democratic primary by 15–20%? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.
See all outcomes for Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.