Will Peggy Flanagan win the Minnesota Senate Democratic primary by 5–10%? Odds fell to 4% on Aug 12, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: NoMove

Will Peggy Flanagan win the Minnesota Senate Democratic primary by 5–10%? On , the market’s odds fell from 15¢ to 3.5¢ (-11.5 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from cbsnews.com. The market has since resolved No.

How did the odds move?

At match15¢
+5m15¢
+30m3.5¢
+1h3.5¢
+24h5.2¢
1h move-11.5 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

Neutralcbsnews.com98%match
Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan, a progressive, projected to win Minnesota Democratic Senate primary

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .

YES0¢
NO100¢

Vol$5K

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Will Peggy Flanagan win the Minnesota Senate Democratic primary by 5–10%? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for Minnesota Democratic Senate Primary Margin of Victory — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.