Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? Odds fell to 5% on Aug 4, 2026
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Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? On , the market’s odds fell from 13.8¢ to 4.5¢ (-9.2 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from CNN Reporter.
How did the odds move?
13.8¢
12.4¢
13.6¢
4.5¢
8.2¢
-9.2 pts
Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.
Later moves the same day
This is the market’s single brief for Aug 4, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.
- 13.5¢ → 4.5¢-9 ptsafter a signal from Puck Reporter
What moved the odds?
YesCNN Reporter97%match
Paramount just released quarterly earnings. "As it relates to the planned acquisition of Warner Bros. Discovery, we fully expect the transaction to close and remain focused on preparing for a successful combination once it is complete," the company says in its shareholder letter
Where does this market stand now?
The market prices a 18% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES18¢
NO82¢
$152K
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Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.