Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? Odds fell to 36% on Jul 24, 2026

OpenMove

Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? On , the market’s odds fell from 52.1¢ to 35.7¢ (-16.4 pts) within an hour of a news signal, one of a 2-source news cluster, from NYT Reporter.

How did the odds move?

At match52.1¢
+5m52.1¢
+30m35.2¢
+1h35.7¢
+24h29.4¢
1h move-16.4 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

Later moves the same day

This is the market’s single brief for Jul 24, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.

  • 52.1¢ → 34.8¢-17.3 ptsafter a signal from NYT Reporter
  • 52.1¢ → 35.5¢-16.6 ptsafter a signal from nbcnews.com
  • 52.1¢ → 35.5¢-16.6 ptsafter a signal from cnn.com
  • 52.1¢ → 34.6¢-17.5 ptsafter a signal from CNN Reporter
  • 30¢ → 38.1¢+8.1 ptsafter a signal from CNN Reporter
  • 36.2¢ → 25.7¢-10.5 ptsafter a signal from lefigaro.fr
  • 36.6¢ → 25.7¢-10.8 ptsafter a signal from MS NOW Reporter

What moved the odds?

Part of a 2-source news cluster, first seen . The triggering signal is listed first.

NoNYT Reporter97%match
news: Paramount has agreed to delay its merger with Warner Bros. Discovery until JUNE 2027 or a judge rules on the case. w/@LaurenSHirsch and @dmccabe $PSKY @wbd
NoNYT Reporter97%match
news: Paramount has agreed to delay its merger with Warner Bros. Discovery until JUNE 2027 or a judge rules on the case. w/@LaurenSHirsch and @dmccabe $PSKY $WBD

Where does this market stand now?

The market prices a 18% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES18¢
NO82¢

Vol$152K

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Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.