Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? Odds fell to 47% on Jul 8, 2026

OpenMove

Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? On , the market’s odds fell from 63.8¢ to 46.9¢ (-16.8 pts) within an hour of a news signal, one of a 2-source news cluster, from Reuters Reporter.

How did the odds move?

At match63.8¢
+5m63.8¢
+30m59.7¢
+1h46.9¢
+24h47.1¢
1h move-16.8 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

Later moves the same day

This is the market’s single brief for Jul 8, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.

  • 63.8¢ → 46.9¢-16.8 ptsafter a signal from dbws.io
  • 59.7¢ → 47.1¢-12.6 ptsafter a signal from CNN Reporter

What moved the odds?

Part of a 2-source news cluster, first seen . The triggering signal is listed first.

NoReuters Reporter98%match
RTRS: PARAMOUNT HAS SAID IT WILL NOT CLOSE WARNER BROS DEAL BEFORE JULY 22, OREGON ATTORNEY GENERAL'S OFFICE SAYS

Where does this market stand now?

The market prices a 18% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES18¢
NO82¢

Vol$152K

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Will Paramount close Warner Bros. acquisition by end of 2026? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.