Will over 60 Senators vote for the Clarity Act? Odds fell to 7% on Sep 15, 2026

OpenMove

Will over 60 Senators vote for the Clarity Act? On , the market’s odds fell from 15.5¢ to 6.5¢ (-9 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from decrypt.co.

How did the odds move?

At match15.5¢
+5m14¢
+30m6¢
+1h6.5¢
+24h10.5¢
1h move-9 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

Later moves the same day

This is the market’s single brief for Sep 15, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.

  • 15¢ → 6.5¢-8.5 ptsafter a signal from theblock.co

What moved the odds?

Neutraldecrypt.co94%match
Clarity Act Stalls in Senate as Crypto Bill Fails to Clear Key Vote

Where does this market stand now?

The market prices a 9% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES9¢
NO92¢

Vol$14K

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Will over 60 Senators vote for the Clarity Act? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

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