Will over 58 Senators vote for the Clarity Act? Odds fell to 15% on Sep 15, 2026
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Will over 58 Senators vote for the Clarity Act? On , the market’s odds fell from 30.5¢ to 15¢ (-15.5 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from Punchbowl Reporter.
How did the odds move?
Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.
Later moves the same day
This is the market’s single brief for Sep 15, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.
- 20¢ → 7.5¢-12.5 ptsafter a signal from coindesk.com
- 17¢ → 7¢-10 ptsafter a signal from decrypt.co
What moved the odds?
Where does this market stand now?
The market prices a 8% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
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Will over 58 Senators vote for the Clarity Act? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.
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