Will over 58 Senators vote for the Clarity Act? Odds fell to 15% on Sep 15, 2026

OpenMove

Will over 58 Senators vote for the Clarity Act? On , the market’s odds fell from 30.5¢ to 15¢ (-15.5 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from Punchbowl Reporter.

How did the odds move?

At match30.5¢
+5m30.5¢
+30m30.5¢
+1h15¢
1h move-15.5 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

NeutralPunchbowl Reporter94%match
Just 15 minutes until the Senate votes on the Clarity Act

Where does this market stand now?

The market prices a 31% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES31¢
NO70¢

Vol$6K

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Will over 58 Senators vote for the Clarity Act? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for How many Senators will vote for the Clarity Act? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.