Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 25, 2026? Odds jumped to 87% on Sep 1, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: YesMove

Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 25, 2026? On , the market’s odds jumped from 75.5¢ to 86.5¢ (+11 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from Reuters. The market has since resolved Yes.

How did the odds move?

At match75.5¢
+5m78.5¢
+30m81¢
+1h86.5¢
+24h99¢
1h move+11 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

NeutralReuters94%match
OpenAI: Plan to Make Astra Available Soon, but Access to Its Most Advanced Cybersecurity Capabilities Will Be More Limited

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .

YES100¢
NO0¢

Vol$19K

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Will OpenAI’s Astra model be released by September 25, 2026? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

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