Will Oliver Gilbert be the FL-24 Democratic nominee? Odds jumped to 85% on Aug 18, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: YesMove

Will Oliver Gilbert be the FL-24 Democratic nominee? On , the market’s odds jumped from 13¢ to 85¢ (+72 pts) within an hour of a news signal, one of a 2-source news cluster, from Decision Desk (DDHQ). The market has since resolved Yes.

How did the odds move?

At match13¢
+5m24.5¢
+30m89¢
+1h85¢
1h move+72 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

Later moves the same day

This is the market’s single brief for Aug 18, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.

  • 28¢ → 92.5¢+64.5 ptsafter a signal from Decision Desk (DDHQ)

What moved the odds?

Part of a 2-source news cluster, first seen . The triggering signal is listed first.

YesDecision Desk (DDHQ)98%match
DDHQ Race Update (est. 71% in): Florida US House 24 Democratic Primary • • Oliver Gilbert (D): 13,486 (35.4%) • Shevrin Jones (D): 12,531 (32.9%) • Kendrick Meek (D): 6,145 (16.1%) • Rudolph Moise (D): 2,964 (7.8%) • • Follow more results here: •
YesDecision Desk (DDHQ)98%match
DDHQ Race Update (est. 87% in): Florida US House 24 Democratic Primary • • Oliver Gilbert (D): 16,694 (35.2%) • Shevrin Jones (D): 15,333 (32.3%) • Kendrick Meek (D): 8,031 (16.9%) • • Follow more results here: •

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .

YES100¢
NO0¢

Vol$16K

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Will Oliver Gilbert be the FL-24 Democratic nominee? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for FL-24 Democratic Primary Winner — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.