FL-24 Democratic Primary Winner

ResolvedOutcomes13as of

This hub tracks 13 outcomes of this event, with the news signals that move them.

What are the odds right now?

Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

Oliver Gilbert100%
Marshall Davis Sr.0%
Shevrin Jones0%
Kendrick Meek Jr.0%
Rudy Moise0%
Jean Monestime0%
Roderick Vereen0%
Candidate A0%
Candidate B0%
Candidate C0%
Candidate D0%
Candidate E0%
Other0%

What moved the odds?

18 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s final price as of .

Oliver Gilbertnbcnews.com98%match100¢
Live: Oliver Gilbert wins the Democratic primary for Florida's 24th Congressional District, NBC News projects
Oliver GilbertAPws98%match98¢+2%
WASHINGTON (AP) — Oliver Gilbert wins Democratic nomination for U.S. House in Florida's 24th Congressional District
Oliver Gilbertapnews.com98%match98¢+2%
Live: WASHINGTON (AP) — Oliver Gilbert wins Democratic nomination for U.S. House in Florida’s 24th Congressional District
Oliver GilbertAxios Reporter97%match98¢+2%
NEW: Florida state Sen. Shevrin Jones says he called Miami Dade County Commissioner Oliver Gilbert to concede the Democratic primary to replace retiring Rep. Frederica Wilson in #FL24 • • Quite an upset result, Jones was seen as the heavy favorite coming into tonight.
Shevrin JonesAxios Reporter98%match100¢
NEW: Florida state Sen. Shevrin Jones says he called Miami Dade County Commissioner Oliver Gilbert to concede the Democratic primary to replace retiring Rep. Frederica Wilson in #FL24 • • Quite an upset result, Jones was seen as the heavy favorite coming into tonight.
Oliver GilbertDecision Desk (DDHQ)98%match95¢+5%
Decision Desk HQ projects Oliver Gilbert wins the Florida US House 24 Democratic Primary • • #DecisionMade: 8:33 PM EDT
Oliver GilbertDecision Desk (DDHQ)98%match91¢+10%
DDHQ Race Update (est. 98% in): Florida US House 24 Democratic Primary • • Oliver Gilbert (D): 19,915 (34.4%) • Shevrin Jones (D): 18,589 (32.1%) • Kendrick Meek (D): 9,977 (17.2%) • • Follow more results here: •
Shevrin JonesDecision Desk (DDHQ)98%match95¢+5%
DDHQ Race Update (est. 98% in): Florida US House 24 Democratic Primary • • Oliver Gilbert (D): 19,915 (34.4%) • Shevrin Jones (D): 18,589 (32.1%) • Kendrick Meek (D): 9,977 (17.2%) • • Follow more results here: •
Kendrick Meek Jr.Decision Desk (DDHQ)97%match100¢
DDHQ Race Update (est. 98% in): Florida US House 24 Democratic Primary • • Oliver Gilbert (D): 19,915 (34.4%) • Shevrin Jones (D): 18,589 (32.1%) • Kendrick Meek (D): 9,977 (17.2%) • • Follow more results here: •
Oliver GilbertDecision Desk (DDHQ)98%match63¢+59%
DDHQ Race Update (est. 93% in): Florida US House 24 Democratic Primary • • Oliver Gilbert (D): 18,766 (34.4%) • Shevrin Jones (D): 17,510 (32.1%) • Kendrick Meek (D): 9,398 (17.2%) • • Follow more results here: •
Shevrin JonesDecision Desk (DDHQ)98%match78¢+28%
DDHQ Race Update (est. 93% in): Florida US House 24 Democratic Primary • • Oliver Gilbert (D): 18,766 (34.4%) • Shevrin Jones (D): 17,510 (32.1%) • Kendrick Meek (D): 9,398 (17.2%) • • Follow more results here: •
Kendrick Meek Jr.Decision Desk (DDHQ)97%match100¢
DDHQ Race Update (est. 93% in): Florida US House 24 Democratic Primary • • Oliver Gilbert (D): 18,766 (34.4%) • Shevrin Jones (D): 17,510 (32.1%) • Kendrick Meek (D): 9,398 (17.2%) • • Follow more results here: •
Oliver GilbertDecision Desk (DDHQ)98%match28¢+257%
DDHQ Race Update (est. 87% in): Florida US House 24 Democratic Primary • • Oliver Gilbert (D): 16,694 (35.2%) • Shevrin Jones (D): 15,333 (32.3%) • Kendrick Meek (D): 8,031 (16.9%) • • Follow more results here: •
Shevrin JonesDecision Desk (DDHQ)98%match40¢+150%
DDHQ Race Update (est. 87% in): Florida US House 24 Democratic Primary • • Oliver Gilbert (D): 16,694 (35.2%) • Shevrin Jones (D): 15,333 (32.3%) • Kendrick Meek (D): 8,031 (16.9%) • • Follow more results here: •
Kendrick Meek Jr.Decision Desk (DDHQ)97%match100¢
DDHQ Race Update (est. 87% in): Florida US House 24 Democratic Primary • • Oliver Gilbert (D): 16,694 (35.2%) • Shevrin Jones (D): 15,333 (32.3%) • Kendrick Meek (D): 8,031 (16.9%) • • Follow more results here: •
Oliver GilbertDecision Desk (DDHQ)98%match13¢+669%
DDHQ Race Update (est. 71% in): Florida US House 24 Democratic Primary • • Oliver Gilbert (D): 13,486 (35.4%) • Shevrin Jones (D): 12,531 (32.9%) • Kendrick Meek (D): 6,145 (16.1%) • Rudolph Moise (D): 2,964 (7.8%) • • Follow more results here: •
Shevrin JonesDecision Desk (DDHQ)98%match15¢+567%
DDHQ Race Update (est. 71% in): Florida US House 24 Democratic Primary • • Oliver Gilbert (D): 13,486 (35.4%) • Shevrin Jones (D): 12,531 (32.9%) • Kendrick Meek (D): 6,145 (16.1%) • Rudolph Moise (D): 2,964 (7.8%) • • Follow more results here: •
Kendrick Meek Jr.Decision Desk (DDHQ)97%match99¢+1%
DDHQ Race Update (est. 71% in): Florida US House 24 Democratic Primary • • Oliver Gilbert (D): 13,486 (35.4%) • Shevrin Jones (D): 12,531 (32.9%) • Kendrick Meek (D): 6,145 (16.1%) • Rudolph Moise (D): 2,964 (7.8%) • • Follow more results here: •

What is this event about?

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the FL-24 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on August 18, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.

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