Will Nigel Farage up his vote share in Clacton? Odds jumped to 93% on Jul 8, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: YesMove

Will Nigel Farage up his vote share in Clacton? On , the market’s odds jumped from 83.5¢ to 93¢ (+9.5 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from telegraph.co.uk. The market has since resolved Yes.

How did the odds move?

At match83.5¢
+5m84¢
+30m84¢
+1h93¢
+24h88.5¢
1h move+9.5 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

Neutraltelegraph.co.uk99%match
I fought and won a by-election in Clacton. This is the great danger for Farage

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .

YES100¢
NO0¢

Vol$32K

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Will Nigel Farage up his vote share in Clacton? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.