Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? Odds fell to 11% on Sep 20, 2026

OpenMove

Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? On , the market’s odds fell from 23.5¢ to 11¢ (-12.5 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from News.

How did the odds move?

At match23.5¢
+5m24¢
+30m23.5¢
+1h11¢
1h move-12.5 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

NoNews96%match
URGENT "New People" are in second place in the State Duma elections according to the results of the State Duma Election Group with 15.42%

Where does this market stand now?

The market prices a 9% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES9¢
NO92¢

Vol$75K

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Will New People (NL) win the third-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for Russia Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.