Will Maura Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NH-01? Odds fell to 11% on Sep 9, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: NoMove

Will Maura Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NH-01? On , the market’s odds fell from 62.5¢ to 10.5¢ (-52 pts) within an hour of a news signal, one of a 2-source news cluster, from Decision Desk (DDHQ). The market has since resolved No.

How did the odds move?

At match62.5¢
+5m69¢
+30m29.5¢
+1h10.5¢
1h move-52 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

Later moves the same day

This is the market’s single brief for Sep 9, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.

  • 57¢ → 7.5¢-49.5 ptsafter a signal from Decision Desk (DDHQ)
  • 32¢ → 6¢-26 ptsafter a signal from Decision Desk (DDHQ)
  • 31¢ → 6.5¢-24.5 ptsafter a signal from Decision Desk (DDHQ)
  • 30.5¢ → 4.1¢-26.4 ptsafter a signal from Decision Desk (DDHQ)
  • 10.5¢ → 2¢-8.5 ptsafter a signal from Decision Desk (DDHQ)

What moved the odds?

Part of a 2-source news cluster, first seen . The triggering signal is listed first.

NoDecision Desk (DDHQ)98%match
DDHQ Race Update (est. 32% in): New Hampshire US House 1 Democratic Primary • • Stefany Shaheen (D): 9,059 (36.5%) • Maura Sullivan (D): 8,319 (33.5%) • Carleigh Beriont (D): 6,014 (24.2%) • • Follow more results here: •

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .

YES0¢
NO100¢

Vol$160K

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Will Maura Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NH-01? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for NH-01 Democratic Primary Winner — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.