NH-01 Democratic Primary Winner

OpenOutcomes19as of

This hub tracks 19 outcomes of this event, with the news signals that move them.

What are the odds right now?

Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

Stefany Shaheen100%
Maura Sullivan0%
Carleigh Beriont0%
Heath Howard0%
Candidate B
Candidate C
Candidate D
Candidate E
Candidate F
Candidate G
Candidate H
Candidate I
Candidate J
Candidate K
Candidate L
Candidate M
Candidate N
Candidate O
Other

What moved the odds?

30 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .

Stefany Shaheencbsnews.com96%match100¢
Stefany Shaheen, Anthony DiLorenzo win New Hampshire primaries, CBS News projects
Stefany Shaheennypost.com97%match100¢
Sen. Jeanne Shaheen’s daughter Stefany wins nasty primary for New Hampshire House seat
Stefany Shaheenapnews.com98%match100¢
Stefany Shaheen wins Democratic nomination for U.S. House in New Hampshire's 1st Congressional District
Stefany Shaheennytimes.com98%match100¢
Stefany Shaheen, Daughter of Democratic Senator, Wins House Primary in New Hampshire
Stefany ShaheenDecision Desk (DDHQ)98%match100¢
Decision Desk HQ projects Stefany Shaheen wins the NH US House 1 Democratic Primary • • #DecisionMade: 11:37 PM EDT
Stefany ShaheenDecision Desk (DDHQ)98%match100¢
DDHQ Race Update (est. 84% in): New Hampshire US House 1 Democratic Primary • • Stefany Shaheen (D): 24,162 (36.7%) • Maura Sullivan (D): 23,008 (35.0%) • Carleigh Beriont (D): 15,040 (22.9%) • • Follow more results here: •
Maura SullivanDecision Desk (DDHQ)98%match100¢
DDHQ Race Update (est. 84% in): New Hampshire US House 1 Democratic Primary • • Stefany Shaheen (D): 24,162 (36.7%) • Maura Sullivan (D): 23,008 (35.0%) • Carleigh Beriont (D): 15,040 (22.9%) • • Follow more results here: •
Carleigh BeriontDecision Desk (DDHQ)97%match100¢
DDHQ Race Update (est. 84% in): New Hampshire US House 1 Democratic Primary • • Stefany Shaheen (D): 24,162 (36.7%) • Maura Sullivan (D): 23,008 (35.0%) • Carleigh Beriont (D): 15,040 (22.9%) • • Follow more results here: •
Stefany ShaheenDecision Desk (DDHQ)98%match100¢
DDHQ Race Update (est. 81% in): New Hampshire US House 1 Democratic Primary • • Stefany Shaheen (D): 23,195 (36.6%) • Maura Sullivan (D): 22,021 (34.8%) • Carleigh Beriont (D): 14,637 (23.1%) • • Follow more results here: •
Stefany ShaheenCNN Reporter98%match100¢
#NH01 Democratic primary: With two-thirds of the vote in, Stefany Shaheen leads Maura Sullivan by 1,056 votes
Maura SullivanCNN Reporter98%match100¢
#NH01 Democratic primary: With two-thirds of the vote in, Stefany Shaheen leads Maura Sullivan by 1,056 votes
Stefany ShaheenDecision Desk (DDHQ)98%match100¢
DDHQ Race Update (est. 79% in): New Hampshire US House 1 Democratic Primary • • Stefany Shaheen (D): 22,723 (36.6%) • Maura Sullivan (D): 21,624 (34.9%) • Carleigh Beriont (D): 14,264 (23.0%) • • Follow more results here: •
Carleigh BeriontDecision Desk (DDHQ)97%match100¢
DDHQ Race Update (est. 79% in): New Hampshire US House 1 Democratic Primary • • Stefany Shaheen (D): 22,723 (36.6%) • Maura Sullivan (D): 21,624 (34.9%) • Carleigh Beriont (D): 14,264 (23.0%) • • Follow more results here: •
Stefany ShaheenDecision Desk (DDHQ)98%match99¢+1%
DDHQ Race Update (est. 77% in): New Hampshire US House 1 Democratic Primary • • Stefany Shaheen (D): 22,113 (36.6%) • Maura Sullivan (D): 21,077 (34.9%) • Carleigh Beriont (D): 13,874 (23.0%) • • Follow more results here: •
Carleigh BeriontDecision Desk (DDHQ)97%match100¢
DDHQ Race Update (est. 77% in): New Hampshire US House 1 Democratic Primary • • Stefany Shaheen (D): 22,113 (36.6%) • Maura Sullivan (D): 21,077 (34.9%) • Carleigh Beriont (D): 13,874 (23.0%) • • Follow more results here: •
Stefany ShaheenDecision Desk (DDHQ)98%match92¢+9%
DDHQ Race Update (est. 70% in): New Hampshire US House 1 Democratic Primary • • Stefany Shaheen (D): 19,639 (36.4%) • Maura Sullivan (D): 18,910 (35.0%) • Carleigh Beriont (D): 12,600 (23.3%) • • Follow more results here: •
Stefany ShaheenDecision Desk (DDHQ)98%match93¢+8%
DDHQ Race Update (est. 66% in): New Hampshire US House 1 Democratic Primary • • Stefany Shaheen (D): 18,559 (36.2%) • Maura Sullivan (D): 17,876 (34.9%) • Carleigh Beriont (D): 12,138 (23.7%) • • Follow more results here: •
Carleigh BeriontDecision Desk (DDHQ)97%match100¢
DDHQ Race Update (est. 66% in): New Hampshire US House 1 Democratic Primary • • Stefany Shaheen (D): 18,559 (36.2%) • Maura Sullivan (D): 17,876 (34.9%) • Carleigh Beriont (D): 12,138 (23.7%) • • Follow more results here: •
Stefany ShaheenDecision Desk (DDHQ)98%match95¢+5%
DDHQ Race Update (est. 61% in): New Hampshire US House 1 Democratic Primary • • Stefany Shaheen (D): 17,003 (36.3%) • Maura Sullivan (D): 15,970 (34.1%) • Carleigh Beriont (D): 11,416 (24.4%) • • Follow more results here: •
Stefany ShaheenPunchbowl Reporter97%match85¢+18%
Tight race in NH01 where Stefany Shaheen, daughter of Sen. Jeanne Shaheen, is narrowly leading Maura Sullivan, a 'Hell Cat.' • • About half the projected vote is in.
Maura SullivanPunchbowl Reporter97%match92¢+9%
Tight race in NH01 where Stefany Shaheen, daughter of Sen. Jeanne Shaheen, is narrowly leading Maura Sullivan, a 'Hell Cat.' • • About half the projected vote is in.
Stefany ShaheenDecision Desk (DDHQ)98%match85¢+18%
DDHQ Race Update (est. 57% in): New Hampshire US House 1 Democratic Primary • • Stefany Shaheen (D): 15,833 (36.1%) • Maura Sullivan (D): 14,797 (33.7%) • Carleigh Beriont (D): 10,948 (25.0%) • • Follow more results here: •
Stefany ShaheenDecision Desk (DDHQ)98%match89¢+12%
DDHQ Race Update (est. 53% in): New Hampshire US House 1 Democratic Primary • • Stefany Shaheen (D): 14,806 (36.2%) • Maura Sullivan (D): 13,774 (33.7%) • Carleigh Beriont (D): 10,136 (24.8%) • • Follow more results here: •
Stefany ShaheenDecision Desk (DDHQ)98%match68¢+47%
DDHQ Race Update (est. 45% in): New Hampshire US House 1 Democratic Primary • • Stefany Shaheen (D): 12,742 (36.8%) • Maura Sullivan (D): 11,762 (34.0%) • Carleigh Beriont (D): 8,159 (23.6%) • • Follow more results here: •
Maura SullivanDecision Desk (DDHQ)98%match69¢+45%
DDHQ Race Update (est. 45% in): New Hampshire US House 1 Democratic Primary • • Stefany Shaheen (D): 12,742 (36.8%) • Maura Sullivan (D): 11,762 (34.0%) • Carleigh Beriont (D): 8,159 (23.6%) • • Follow more results here: •
Carleigh BeriontDecision Desk (DDHQ)97%match100¢
DDHQ Race Update (est. 45% in): New Hampshire US House 1 Democratic Primary • • Stefany Shaheen (D): 12,742 (36.8%) • Maura Sullivan (D): 11,762 (34.0%) • Carleigh Beriont (D): 8,159 (23.6%) • • Follow more results here: •
Stefany ShaheenDecision Desk (DDHQ)98%match63¢+59%
DDHQ Race Update (est. 44% in): New Hampshire US House 1 Democratic Primary • • Stefany Shaheen (D): 12,452 (36.7%) • Maura Sullivan (D): 11,572 (34.1%) • Carleigh Beriont (D): 7,989 (23.5%) • • Follow more results here: •
Carleigh BeriontDecision Desk (DDHQ)97%match100¢
DDHQ Race Update (est. 44% in): New Hampshire US House 1 Democratic Primary • • Stefany Shaheen (D): 12,452 (36.7%) • Maura Sullivan (D): 11,572 (34.1%) • Carleigh Beriont (D): 7,989 (23.5%) • • Follow more results here: •
Stefany ShaheenDecision Desk (DDHQ)98%match62¢+61%
DDHQ Race Update (est. 39% in): New Hampshire US House 1 Democratic Primary • • Stefany Shaheen (D): 11,135 (36.8%) • Maura Sullivan (D): 10,233 (33.8%) • Carleigh Beriont (D): 7,161 (23.7%) • • Follow more results here: •
Maura SullivanDecision Desk (DDHQ)98%match68¢+47%
DDHQ Race Update (est. 39% in): New Hampshire US House 1 Democratic Primary • • Stefany Shaheen (D): 11,135 (36.8%) • Maura Sullivan (D): 10,233 (33.8%) • Carleigh Beriont (D): 7,161 (23.7%) • • Follow more results here: •

What is this event about?

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the NH-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 8, 2026. If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/. Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.