Will Maura Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NH-01? Odds fell to 52% on Sep 8, 2026

OpenMove

Will Maura Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NH-01? On , the market’s odds fell from 65.5¢ to 51.5¢ (-14 pts) within an hour of a news signal, one of a 3-source news cluster, from Decision Desk (DDHQ).

How did the odds move?

At match65.5¢
+5m48¢
+30m67.5¢
+1h51.5¢
1h move-14 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

Later moves the same day

This is the market’s single brief for Sep 8, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.

  • 64¢ → 30¢-34 ptsafter a signal from Decision Desk (DDHQ)
  • 72¢ → 36.5¢-35.5 ptsafter a signal from Decision Desk (DDHQ)

What moved the odds?

Part of a 3-source news cluster, first seen . The triggering signal is listed first.

NeutralDecision Desk (DDHQ)98%match
DDHQ Race Update (est. 1% in): New Hampshire US House 1 Democratic Primary • • Stefany Shaheen (D): 320 (35.4%) • Maura Sullivan (D): 310 (34.3%) • Carleigh Beriont (D): 194 (21.4%) • • Follow more results here: •
YesDecision Desk (DDHQ)98%match
DDHQ Race Update (est. 6% in): New Hampshire US House 1 Democratic Primary • • Maura Sullivan (D): 1,642 (33.6%) • Carleigh Beriont (D): 1,492 (30.5%) • Stefany Shaheen (D): 1,489 (30.5%) • • Follow more results here: •
NeutralDecision Desk (DDHQ)98%match
DDHQ Race Update (est. 15% in): New Hampshire US House 1 Democratic Primary • • Stefany Shaheen (D): 4,216 (35.8%) • Maura Sullivan (D): 3,870 (32.9%) • Carleigh Beriont (D): 3,030 (25.7%) • • Follow more results here: •

Where does this market stand now?

The market prices a 1% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES1¢
NO99¢

Vol$157K

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Will Maura Sullivan be the Democratic nominee for NH-01? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

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