Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $17.5B by December 31? Odds jumped to 38% on Sep 10, 2026

OpenMove

Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $17.5B by December 31? On , the market’s odds jumped from 18¢ to 38¢ (+20 pts) within an hour of a news signal, one of a 3-source news cluster, from Reuters.

How did the odds move?

At match18¢
+30m38¢
+1h38¢
1h move+20 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

Later moves the same day

This is the market’s single brief for Sep 10, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.

  • 18¢ → 38¢+20 ptsafter a signal from treenewsfeed

What moved the odds?

Part of a 3-source news cluster, first seen . The triggering signal is listed first.

YesReuters94%match
Nasdaq is Investing $100 Million in Kraken Parent Payward at $21 Billion Valuation-Bloomberg News
Yesstockmktnewz94%match
The Nasdaq $NDAQ announced today it is investing $100 million in Payward, the parent of cryptocurrency exchange Kraken at a valuation of $21 Billion - Bloomberg

Where does this market stand now?

The market prices a 50% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES50¢
NO50¢

Vol$23K

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Will Kraken's valuation hit (HIGH) $17.5B by December 31? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for Will Kraken's valuation hit __ by December 31? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.