Will Kraken's valuation hit __ by December 31?

OpenOutcomes9as of

Market pricing makes ↑$12.5B the favorite at 49% across 9 tracked outcomes, as of .

What are the odds right now?

Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

↓$9B100%

What moved the odds?

30 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s latest price as of .

↑$12.5Bzdnet.co.kr93%match
Nasdaq Invests $100 Million in Kraken Parent Company… Targeting On-Chain Market
↑$17.5Bzdnet.co.kr93%match
Nasdaq Invests $100 Million in Kraken Parent Company… Targeting On-Chain Market
↑$22.5Bzdnet.co.kr93%match
Nasdaq Invests $100 Million in Kraken Parent Company… Targeting On-Chain Market
↑$20Bzdnet.co.kr93%match
Nasdaq Invests $100 Million in Kraken Parent Company… Targeting On-Chain Market
↑$25Bzdnet.co.kr93%match
Nasdaq Invests $100 Million in Kraken Parent Company… Targeting On-Chain Market
↑$12.5Bcointelegraph.com94%match67¢-27%
Nasdaq invests $100M in Kraken parent at $21B valuation: Report
Nasdaq invests $100M in Kraken parent at $21B valuation: Report
↑$17.5Bcointelegraph.com95%match38¢-63%
Nasdaq invests $100M in Kraken parent at $21B valuation: Report
Nasdaq invests $100M in Kraken parent at $21B valuation: Report
↑$12.5Bdecrypt.co93%match68¢-28%
Nasdaq Invests $100M in Kraken Parent Payward at $21B Valuation
↑$15Bdecrypt.co92%match
Nasdaq Invests $100M in Kraken Parent Payward at $21B Valuation
↑$17.5Bdecrypt.co93%match
Nasdaq Invests $100M in Kraken Parent Payward at $21B Valuation
↑$20Bdecrypt.co93%match
Nasdaq Invests $100M in Kraken Parent Payward at $21B Valuation
↑$12.5Bcoindesk.com94%match67¢-27%
Nasdaq invests $100 million in Kraken parent company Payward at $21 billion valuation
↑$15Bcoindesk.com94%match
Nasdaq invests $100 million in Kraken parent company Payward at $21 billion valuation
↑$17.5Bcoindesk.com95%match
Nasdaq invests $100 million in Kraken parent company Payward at $21 billion valuation
↑$20Bcoindesk.com95%match
Nasdaq invests $100 million in Kraken parent company Payward at $21 billion valuation
↑$12.5Bwublockchain97%match
Nasdaq Invests $100M in Kraken Parent Payward at $21 Billion Valuation • • According to Bloomberg, Nasdaq is investing $100 million in Payward, the parent company of cryptocurrency exchange Kraken, through its venture investment arm. The capital injection values Payward at $21 billion and deepens a strategic partnership established between the two firms in March, according to people familiar with the matter. The collaboration aims to accelerate the buildout of next-generation market infrastructure designed to support the trading, settlement, and custody of tokenized equities.
↑$15Bwublockchain97%match
Nasdaq Invests $100M in Kraken Parent Payward at $21 Billion Valuation • • According to Bloomberg, Nasdaq is investing $100 million in Payward, the parent company of cryptocurrency exchange Kraken, through its venture investment arm. The capital injection values Payward at $21 billion and deepens a strategic partnership established between the two firms in March, according to people familiar with the matter. The collaboration aims to accelerate the buildout of next-generation market infrastructure designed to support the trading, settlement, and custody of tokenized equities.
↑$17.5Bwublockchain97%match
Nasdaq Invests $100M in Kraken Parent Payward at $21 Billion Valuation • • According to Bloomberg, Nasdaq is investing $100 million in Payward, the parent company of cryptocurrency exchange Kraken, through its venture investment arm. The capital injection values Payward at $21 billion and deepens a strategic partnership established between the two firms in March, according to people familiar with the matter. The collaboration aims to accelerate the buildout of next-generation market infrastructure designed to support the trading, settlement, and custody of tokenized equities.
↑$20Bwublockchain97%match
Nasdaq Invests $100M in Kraken Parent Payward at $21 Billion Valuation • • According to Bloomberg, Nasdaq is investing $100 million in Payward, the parent company of cryptocurrency exchange Kraken, through its venture investment arm. The capital injection values Payward at $21 billion and deepens a strategic partnership established between the two firms in March, according to people familiar with the matter. The collaboration aims to accelerate the buildout of next-generation market infrastructure designed to support the trading, settlement, and custody of tokenized equities.
↑$12.5Bstockmktnewz94%match
The Nasdaq $NDAQ announced today it is investing $100 million in Payward, the parent of cryptocurrency exchange Kraken at a valuation of $21 Billion - Bloomberg
↑$15Bstockmktnewz94%match
The Nasdaq $NDAQ announced today it is investing $100 million in Payward, the parent of cryptocurrency exchange Kraken at a valuation of $21 Billion - Bloomberg
↑$17.5Bstockmktnewz94%match
The Nasdaq $NDAQ announced today it is investing $100 million in Payward, the parent of cryptocurrency exchange Kraken at a valuation of $21 Billion - Bloomberg
↑$20Bstockmktnewz94%match
The Nasdaq $NDAQ announced today it is investing $100 million in Payward, the parent of cryptocurrency exchange Kraken at a valuation of $21 Billion - Bloomberg
↑$12.5Btreenewsfeed94%match
NASDAQ IS INVESTING $100 MILLION IN KRAKEN PARENT PAYWARD AT $21 BILLION VALUATION-BLOOMBERG NEWS - RTRS
↑$15Btreenewsfeed93%match
NASDAQ IS INVESTING $100 MILLION IN KRAKEN PARENT PAYWARD AT $21 BILLION VALUATION-BLOOMBERG NEWS - RTRS
↑$17.5Btreenewsfeed94%match18¢-22%
NASDAQ IS INVESTING $100 MILLION IN KRAKEN PARENT PAYWARD AT $21 BILLION VALUATION-BLOOMBERG NEWS - RTRS
↑$20Btreenewsfeed94%match
NASDAQ IS INVESTING $100 MILLION IN KRAKEN PARENT PAYWARD AT $21 BILLION VALUATION-BLOOMBERG NEWS - RTRS
↑$12.5BReuters94%match
Nasdaq is Investing $100 Million in Kraken Parent Payward at $21 Billion Valuation-Bloomberg News

What is this event about?

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kraken's private market valuation, as measured by the NPM Price reported by Nasdaq Private Market, LLC (NPM) for any date between market creation and December 31, 2026, reaches or exceeds the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". NPM Prices are published for trading days only and are updated once daily at 1:00 PM ET on the following calendar day. If NPM has not published relevant data for all business dates in the specified period by 1:00 PM ET on January 1, 2027, this market may remain open until 11:59 PM ET on January 4, 2027. If no further data is released by that time, the market will resolve according to the data available. If NPM ceases publishing relevant data prior to the end of the specified period, this market will resolve based on the NPM data published for the period prior to the cessation of coverage, as well as any applicable public market capitalization data following an IPO or direct listing. If the company completes an IPO or direct listing before the end of the specified period, this market will consider, in addition to the relevant NPM valuations published between market creation and the IPO or direct listing date, the valuation implied by the official IPO or direct listing price, and the company's public market capitalization between the IPO or direct listing date and the end of the specified period. Public market capitalization will be determined using the highest/lowest official regular-hours trading price published for the company's primary listed common equity on its primary exchange for any trading day during the specified period, multiplied by the company's total outstanding common shares at the relevant time. If the listed company merges with or acquires another entity and remains the parent company, no change to resolution methodology applies. If the listed company is acquired, merges into another entity and is no longer the surviving parent company, or otherwise ceases to exist as an independent entity prior to the end of the period, only NPM valuations and applicable public market capitalizations achieved prior to completion of the transaction will be considered for resolution. No transaction, acquisition, or merger consideration will be considered for resolution. The resolution source for this market is NPM data published here (https://fe.secondmarket.com/companies/company-ab5413cb-1c83-497e-b03e-2ed7ca70117d/data?return_url=https://polymarket.com/finance/privates). The resolution source for any period following an IPO, direct listing, or relevant corporate action, will be official exchange trading data and publicly reported share counts. Revisions to previously published NPM data made after their initial release will not be considered, unless made to correct clearly erroneous data.