Will Kevin Christensen be the WY-AL Republican nominee? Odds fell to 0% on Aug 19, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: NoMove

Will Kevin Christensen be the WY-AL Republican nominee? On , the market’s odds fell from 8.6¢ to 0.4¢ (-8.2 pts) within an hour of a news signal, one of a 8-source news cluster, from Decision Desk (DDHQ). The market has since resolved No.

How did the odds move?

At match8.6¢
+5m4.2¢
+30m1.9¢
+1h0.4¢
1h move-8.2 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

Part of a 8-source news cluster, first seen . The triggering signal is listed first.

NoDecision Desk (DDHQ)97%match
DDHQ Race Update (est. 7% in): Wyoming US House At-Large Republican Primary • • Chuck Gray (R): 2,645 (26.5%) • Steve Friess (R): 2,057 (20.6%) • Kevin Christensen (R): 1,826 (18.3%) • Jillian Balow (R): 999 (10.0%) • • Follow more results here: •
NoDecision Desk (DDHQ)97%match
DDHQ Race Update (est. 12% in): Wyoming US House At-Large Republican Primary • • Chuck Gray (R): 4,937 (28.7%) • Steve Friess (R): 3,838 (22.3%) • Kevin Christensen (R): 2,748 (16.0%) • Reid Rasner (R): 1,691 (9.8%) • • Follow more results here: •

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .

YES0¢
NO100¢

Vol$11K

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Will Kevin Christensen be the WY-AL Republican nominee? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

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