Will Josh Hawley announce a presidential run before 2028? Odds fell to 21% on Sep 17, 2026

OpenMove

Will Josh Hawley announce a presidential run before 2028? On , the market’s odds fell from 30.5¢ to 20.5¢ (-10 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from foxnews.com.

How did the odds move?

At match30.5¢
+5m24.5¢
+30m20.5¢
+1h20.5¢
1h move-10 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

Nofoxnews.com94%match
Josh Hawley shoots down prospect of 2028 White House bid, says he has 'no intention' of running: report

Where does this market stand now?

The market prices a 21% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES21¢
NO79¢

Vol$3K

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Will Josh Hawley announce a presidential run before 2028? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for Who will announce Presidential run before 2028? — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.