Will Jim Schwartzel be the Republican nominee for FL-19? Odds jumped to 100% on Aug 18, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: YesMove

Will Jim Schwartzel be the Republican nominee for FL-19? On , the market’s odds jumped from 11.8¢ to 100¢ (+88.2 pts) within an hour of a news signal, one of a 2-source news cluster, from Decision Desk (DDHQ). The market has since resolved Yes.

How did the odds move?

At match11.8¢
+5m60.9¢
+30m98.8¢
+1h100¢
+24h100¢
1h move+88.2 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

Later moves the same day

This is the market’s single brief for Aug 18, 2026; further measured moves that day are folded in here as they are stamped.

  • 63.9¢ → 100¢+36.1 ptsafter a signal from Decision Desk (DDHQ)

What moved the odds?

Part of a 2-source news cluster, first seen . The triggering signal is listed first.

YesDecision Desk (DDHQ)98%match
DDHQ Race Update (est. 48% in): Florida US House 19 Republican Primary • • Jim Schwartzel (R): 13,106 (30.3%) • Catalina Lauf (R): 7,658 (17.7%) • Jim Oberweis (R): 7,394 (17.1%) • • Follow more results here: •
YesDecision Desk (DDHQ)98%match
DDHQ Race Update (est. 66% in): Florida US House 19 Republican Primary • • Jim Schwartzel (R): 17,829 (30.1%) • Catalina Lauf (R): 10,783 (18.2%) • Jim Oberweis (R): 10,088 (17.0%) • • Follow more results here: •

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .

YES100¢
NO0¢

Vol$38K

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Will Jim Schwartzel be the Republican nominee for FL-19? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for FL-19 Republican Primary Winner — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.