FL-19 Republican Primary WinnerJim Schwartzel
ResolvedOutcome: Yes$38Kas of
Odds now
This market has resolved Yes. Final market pricing put YES at 100%, as of .
YES100¢
NO0¢
as of
What moved the odds?
13 AI-matched news signals on this market, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the final price as of .
Live: Jim Schwartzel, a local media mogul, prevailed in the Republican primary for Florida’s 19th Congressional District, which is Byron Donalds’s current seat.
Live: Jim Schwartzel wins the Republican primary for Florida's 19th Congressional District, NBC News projects
Sun Broadcasting president Jim Schwartzel wins #FL19, defeating Trump-endorsed transplant Catalina Lauf and a bunch of other transplant candidates not endorsed by Trump.
Live: Jim Schwartzel projected to win Republican nod in Florida’s 19th House District
Happy election night - here's where we are in the first hour of returns. • • FL • - Rep. Cory Mills, R-FL, is losing his House primary by six points. Most in GOP delighted. (Dems lose their best chance of a pickup there.) • - In US Senate race, progressive Angie Nixon has beat Dem Alex Vindman of impeachment 1.0 fame. Big win for progressives. (Republican Ashley Moody likely not sad either.) • - Rep. Debbie Wasserman Schultz is the winner in FL-20, after moving districts due to remapping • - In wild FL-19, somehow two former congressmen AND President Trump have all lost. Talk radio station owner Jim Schwartzel (who supports Trump but did not get the endorsement in the primary) wins. Madison Cawthorne and Chris Collins each were in single-digit percentages.
Results for the "carpetbagger primary" are in: Jim Schwartzel has beat President Trump's pick for Florida's 19th district, Catalina Lauf. • • Five candidates in this primary have represented or run for Congress in other states, including Lauf and former Reps. Madison Cawthorn (NC) and Chris Collins (NY).
YESAPws98%match99¢+1%
WASHINGTON (AP) — Jim Schwartzel wins Republican nomination for U.S. House in Florida's 19th Congressional District
Live: WASHINGTON (AP) — Jim Schwartzel wins Republican nomination for U.S. House in Florida’s 19th Congressional District
Jim Schwartzel will win the #FL19 Republican primary, CNN projects. • • Schwartzel defeats Trump-backed Catalina Lauf.
Donald Trump's pick Catalina Lauf loses primary for Byron Donalds seat in Florida to Jim Schwartzel
Decision Desk HQ projects Jim Schwartzel wins the Florida US House 19 Republican Primary • • #DecisionMade: 7:33 PM EDT
DDHQ Race Update (est. 66% in): Florida US House 19 Republican Primary • • Jim Schwartzel (R): 17,829 (30.1%) • Catalina Lauf (R): 10,783 (18.2%) • Jim Oberweis (R): 10,088 (17.0%) • • Follow more results here: •
DDHQ Race Update (est. 48% in): Florida US House 19 Republican Primary • • Jim Schwartzel (R): 13,106 (30.3%) • Catalina Lauf (R): 7,658 (17.7%) • Jim Oberweis (R): 7,394 (17.1%) • • Follow more results here: •
Where does the news lean?
13YES0NO0neutraltrailing 24h
Average match confidence across the listed signals: 97%.
Past moves on this market
Material odds moves (≥8 points within an hour of a matched news signal), newest first — each links to a dated brief on what moved the price.
How did this market resolve?
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Republican Party to contest the FL-19 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Republican primary will take place on August 18, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Republican sources, including https://www.rnc.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
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See all outcomes for FL-19 Republican Primary Winner — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.