Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? Odds fell to 37% on Aug 18, 2026
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Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? On , the market’s odds fell from 47.5¢ to 37¢ (-10.5 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from iranintlbrk.
How did the odds move?
47.5¢
47.5¢
37.5¢
37¢
45.5¢
-10.5 pts
Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.
What moved the odds?
Noiranintlbrk94%match
CNN: Trump's order to his negotiating team, including J.D. Vance, and his envoys Steve Whittaker and Jared Kushner, to refrain from engaging with Tehran came after some "positive conversations" with the Islamic Republic, officials said Tuesday.
Where does this market stand now?
The market prices a 33% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .
YES33¢
NO67¢
$17K
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Will Jared Kushner attend a US x Iran diplomatic meeting by December 31, 2026? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.
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