Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in August? Odds jumped to 100% on Sep 1, 2026

OpenMove

Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in August? On , the market’s odds jumped from 65.5¢ to 100¢ (+34.5 pts) within an hour of a news signal, one of a 2-source news cluster, from dbnews.

How did the odds move?

At match65.5¢
+5m100¢
+30m100¢
+1h100¢
1h move+34.5 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

Part of a 2-source news cluster, first seen . The triggering signal is listed first.

Yesdbnews95%match
*US AUG. ISM MANUFACTURING INDEX AT 54.6 VS 55.6; EST. 55.2

Where does this market stand now?

The market prices a 100% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES100¢
NO0¢

Vol$10K

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Will ISM Manufacturing PMI be between 54.0 and 54.9 in August? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for ISM Manufacturing PMI - August 2026 — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.