Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 4.50%? Odds fell to 20% on Jul 13, 2026

OpenMove

Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 4.50%? On , the market’s odds fell from 31.5¢ to 20¢ (-11.5 pts) within an hour of a news signal, one of a 2-source news cluster, from cnbc.

How did the odds move?

At match31.5¢
+5m30.5¢
+30m30.5¢
+1h20¢
+24h17¢
1h move-11.5 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

Part of a 2-source news cluster, first seen . The triggering signal is listed first.

Yescnbc99%match
India's inflation accelerates to 4.38% in June, exceeding forecasts
Yescnbc.com99%match
India's inflation accelerates to 4.38% in June, exceeding forecasts

Where does this market stand now?

The market prices a 90% chance that this market resolves YES, as of .

YES90¢
NO11¢

Vol$20K

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Will India’s 2026 Annual Inflation be at least 4.50%? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for India Annual Inflation 2026 — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.