Will Graham Platner win less than 65% of votes in the Maine Senate Democratic Primary? Odds fell to 6% on Jul 6, 2026

ResolvedOutcome: NoMove

Will Graham Platner win less than 65% of votes in the Maine Senate Democratic Primary? On , the market’s odds fell from 17.2¢ to 6.2¢ (-11 pts) within an hour of an AI-matched news signal from nypost.com. The market has since resolved No.

How did the odds move?

At match17.2¢
+5m17.8¢
+30m45¢
+1h6.2¢
1h move-11 pts

Yes-side prices at the moment the news was matched and at the stamped impact windows after it. Windows the tracker could not measure inside its honesty band are omitted, never estimated.

What moved the odds?

Yesnypost.com98%match
Dem Graham Platner mysteriously cancels multiple Maine Senate campaign events — as key deadline approaches

Where does this market stand now?

This market has resolved No. Final market pricing put YES at 0%, as of .

YES0¢
NO100¢

Vol$27K

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Will Graham Platner win less than 65% of votes in the Maine Senate Democratic Primary? — live odds, order flow, and the full signal timeline.

See all outcomes for Graham Platner vote share in 2026 Maine Democratic Senate Primary — the full event, with combined odds and signal timeline.