Graham Platner vote share in 2026 Maine Democratic Senate Primary

ResolvedOutcomes7as of

This hub tracks 7 outcomes of this event, with the news signals that move them.

What are the odds right now?

Each outcome shows its current market price — the market-implied probability it happens. Click an outcome for its full market page.

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What moved the odds?

12 AI-matched news signals available across this event, newest first. Entry price is the called side when the news hit; the signed return marks it against the outcome’s final price as of .

85-90%washingtonpost.com98%match100¢
Democratic factions vie to pick Platner replacement before he leaves Maine race
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Democratic factions vie to pick Platner replacement before he leaves Maine race
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Maine Dems are already throwing elbows as they jostle to replace Graham Platner
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Here’s who could replace alleged rapist Graham Platner in Maine Senate race
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Live: Maine Democratic Party leadership calls for Graham Platner to withdraw from Senate race
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Platner says he's taking time to consider future of Maine Senate bid
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Platner denies allegations, then says "We’re taking the time to reflect on the best path forward." • • Clock is ticking on Maine's July 13 deadline for a candidate to withdraw. Seems like that outcome is what this is trending toward.
Platner denies allegations, then says "We’re taking the time to reflect on the best path forward." • • Clock is ticking on Maine's July 13 deadline for a candidate to withdraw. Seems like that outcome is what this is trending toward.
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Platner denies allegations, then says "We’re taking the time to reflect on the best path forward." • • Clock is ticking on Maine's July 13 deadline for a candidate to withdraw. Seems like that outcome is what this is trending toward.
Platner denies allegations, then says "We’re taking the time to reflect on the best path forward." • • Clock is ticking on Maine's July 13 deadline for a candidate to withdraw. Seems like that outcome is what this is trending toward.
<65%nypost.com98%match17¢-100%
Dem Graham Platner mysteriously cancels multiple Maine Senate campaign events — as key deadline approaches
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Dem Graham Platner mysteriously cancels multiple Maine Senate campaign events — as key deadline approaches

What is this event about?

Primary elections in Maine are scheduled to be held on June 9, 2026. This market will resolve according to the share of valid votes Graham Platner wins in the 2026 Maine Democratic Senate Primary. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher margin bracket. If the results of the specified election are not known definitively by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the State of Maine, such as official statewide results published by the Maine Secretary of State (https://www.maine.gov/sos/); however, an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice. If a recount is initiated before the vote total has been made official, the market will remain open until the recount is completed and the vote is made official.

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